Fewer New Condo Launches in 2026 and What It Means for Singapore Buyers
Singapore will see a smaller pipeline of private condo launches in 2026. After a strong 2025 that pushed new home sales to a four year high, developers are expected to release fewer projects and fewer units in the coming year.
According to OrangeTee’s 2026 outlook report, the number of new private condominium launches, excluding executive condominiums, is expected to drop sharply from 26 projects in 2025 to just 17 in 2026. The number of units will also shrink by about 29 percent, falling from 11,430 to 8,113 units.
Most of the upcoming launches are concentrated in suburban areas. Out of the 17 projects, eight are located in Tengah, Tampines, Bayshore and Lakeside. The city fringe will see four launches while the Core Central Region (CCR) will have five.
While launch supply is tightening, more completed homes are coming to market. Based on Urban Redevelopment Authority data, private homes obtaining TOP will rise from 5,249 units in 2025 to 7,006 units in 2026. This gives buyers more options for move in ready homes, which is appealing for those who do not want to wait three to four years for construction.
The softer launch pipeline is also linked to the Government Land Sales programme. Confirmed list supply for the first half of 2026 is set at about 4,500 private housing units, slightly lower than the 4,725 units released in the preceding half year.
Another reason for the smaller 2026 pipeline is that some developers brought forward their launches in 2025 to take advantage of strong market sentiment.
Will Demand Stay Strong?
Despite fewer launches, analysts expect the property market to remain stable in 2026. Lower mortgage rates and continued demand from HDB upgraders are seen as the main pillars supporting sales.
Mortgage rates reached as high as 4.5 percent in 2022 during the global rate hike cycle. Since inflation eased and the US Federal Reserve shifted its stance, Singapore bank loans have trended down. By late 2025, fixed and floating packages were between 1.55 and 1.8 percent.
Lower financing costs make home purchases more manageable. Historically, the market tends to be more active whenever mortgage rates fall. This is expected to draw in first time buyers who may have held back during periods of higher rates.
Private home sales are expected to reach 26,300 to 27,200 units for 2025, then moderate to 23,500 to 25,500 units in 2026. Even after easing, these volumes remain above the 10 year average of 22,678 units.
Key Launches to Watch in 2026
The Outside Central Region (OCR) will see the most activity. The most prominent project will be a new condominium along Tengah Garden Avenue, which will be the first private residential development in the fast growing Tengah estate. Other suburban launches include Narra Residences at Dairy Farm Walk, the Tampines Street 94 site, Bayshore Road, and Lakeside Drive.
The OCR will also have four EC launches, the highest number released in a single year over the past decade. ECs remain highly attractive due to their pricing and product features.
In the CCR, the largest project will be River Modern at River Valley. Other notable launches include Newport Residences, One Leonie Residences and the upcoming development at Holland Link. In the Rest of Central Region (RCR), new launches include the former Thomson View site and the GLS plot along Dorset Road.
CCR homes are still expected to command a premium due to their luxury positioning and prime addresses. Developers are likely to price more carefully, but the higher benchmarks achieved in 2025 may continue into 2026.
Land costs remain a factor shaping new launch pricing. Developers are balancing higher land bids with the need to keep prices within what buyers can reasonably afford.
A Strong Alternative: Terra Hill in the RCR
For buyers comparing 2026 launches, it is worth looking at projects already available in the Rest of Central Region. Terra Hill stands out as one of the few freehold RCR developments that is ready for immediate viewing.
Located only 3 minutes from Pasir Panjang MRT, Terra Hill offers city fringe convenience, freehold value and a boutique low density living environment. With prices starting from $2212 psf, it sits well below many upcoming RCR and CCR launches. For buyers who want strong long term value without waiting for a new 2026 project, Terra Hill is a practical and attractive option. If you would like a full price list, floor plans or the latest promotions, reach out to Terra Hill website.
What All This Means for Buyers
Here are the key takeaways for anyone planning to buy in 2026:
- Supply will be tighter with only 17 new condo launches, so popular projects may move quickly.
- More units will reach TOP, giving buyers more immediate move in options.
- Lower mortgage rates between 1.55 and 1.8 percent should improve affordability.
- Suburban estates will dominate new supply, while CCR launches continue to hold their luxury premium.
- ECs will be a hot category with four projects planned in the OCR.
- For those who prefer freehold and central fringe living, projects like Terra Hill offer strong value before the 2026 price benchmarks shift again.
FAQ
Q1: How many new condo launches are expected in Singapore in 2026
17 launches, down from 26 in 2025.
Q2: How many private home units will be launched in 2026
About 8,113 units, a 29 percent drop from 11,430 units in 2025.
Q3: Are mortgage rates going down in Singapore
Yes. By late 2025, fixed and floating packages ranged from 1.55 to 1.8 percent.
Q4: Which region has the most launches in 2026
The suburbs (OCR), with eight projects expected.
Q5: What is a good RCR freehold option to consider
Terra Hill, which is freehold, 3 minutes from MRT and starts from $2212 psf.
